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Future simulator

Choose a path. See the world it builds.

Our choices this decade lock in the climate of the century. Pick an emissions pathway and a horizon, and watch the planet respond.

Emissions pathway

Horizon

1.5°2°3°
+2.0°Cabove pre-industrial

Half Measures · 2050: Dangerous territory. Many systems strained; some damage becomes permanent.

Sea-level rise

24 cm

global mean, vs. 2020

CO₂ concentration

490 ppm

atmospheric

Dangerous heat days

47/yr

pop-weighted index

Species at high risk

14.8%

of assessed species

Coral reefs remaining

25%

of today's reefs

Exposed to coastal floods

260M

people, annually

Warming trajectories

Rapid ActionHalf MeasuresFossil-Fuelled

Food & farming: staple crop yields shift by -4.2% under this scenario - before accounting for adaptation. Lower warming protects harvests, water and the systems we depend on.

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